Thursday 10 March 2011

What do the bookies know that we don't


I am always amazed that the bookies seem to have almost mystical powers in determining odds and who is favourite to win for example in the early days of a TV talent show. They really should get into running governments.

An example of foresight that springs to mind is the girl that won the BBC's 'Over the Rainbow' talent show. There were twenty unknown contestants, and yet Danielle Hope was the bookies favourite from the very beginning. From memory, she almost got eliminated twice in sudden death sing-offs. But despite the apparent wavering, the bookies maintained the faith in her as their favourite. She went on to win in the end and is now starring in The Lord Jaba's west end show.

Just how do bookies do it? Do they know something that we ordinary punters don't?

That leads me to the Rt hon William Hague MP the Foreign Secretary (or Tory Boy as he was formerly known). About 3 weeks ago, and before the Libya situation had fully developed, I noted that the bookies had shortened the odds (from 12/1 to 8/1) of him being the next minister to resign from the Government. At that time Vince Cable was the favourite at 7/2. Remember this was long before the recent keystone cops episode outside Benghazi. I questioned at that time what do the bookies know, what us mere members of the public don't know, which would shorten the odds. The sharing the hotel room with his special advisor was ages before and 8/1 seemed attractive odds - I really wished I had of got on then.
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Now this morning when I turn to my Turf Accounting daily I see the odds have shrunk to - wait for it - 3/1! I had tears in my muesli. I squandered the 8/1 opportunity. The bookies had seen it coming long before some Whitehall mandarin had concocted the crazy caper in Benghazi, which Hague in a moment of apparent lunacy, had signed off - like something from a script from 'The Thick Of It".

There was also a piece in the Guardian by Nicholas Watt that said there was talk within the Tory ranks that “William had lost his mojo“.

He continued: “There is this feeling that William is not firing on all cylinders, that he is on half power,” one Tory said. Many Conservatives believe Hague has never fully recovered from his embarrassment in September when he admitted having shared a hotel room with his former special adviser, Christopher Myers.“

My own thing with Hague was of his lies in relation to his connections with Lord Ashcroft. How he got away with that I just do not know. After Coulson it further shows David Cameron's extreme lack of judgment when giving people top positions.

Surely Cameron must have viewed this:

Saturday 26 February 2011

Aggregation

Saw this great animation this morning in relation to AOL's acquistion of the Huffington post news aggregation website.  Think of it also in the context of those comparison websites - you now need a comparison website to compare the comparison websites.

Wednesday 16 February 2011

The Kings Speech (but a bit too late)

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King Hamad bin Issa Al-Khalifa

Currently we are in Dubai but have to report on the recent trouble in Bahrain in recent days. Or the Kingdom of Bahrain to give it its proper title since 2002 the Emir HH Hamad bin Issa Al-Khalifa succeeded to power and made himself a King. Two people have been killed by the police in demonstrations on Monday and Tuesday of this week. King Hamad took to the TV to address the population to personally apologise for the killings. But I fear it was a Kings speech, a bit too late, especially for the two young men who were shot to death by the police - some 'crowd control'.

The origins of the troubles predate the popular uprising in Egypt and mainly relate to the demographics of the island kingdom. In particular the split of Sunni and Shia sects of Islam in Bahrain. If you think 'catholic' and 'protestant' it may help to understand the divisions - same religion but with prejudices and differing allegiances on both sides. These sectarian troubles go back over 30 years, or so, (1979 and the Iranian revolution).

The country is ruled by King Hamad bin Issa Al-Khalifa and the King appointed government is largely Sunni dominated whereas the Shia represent two thirds of the Bahraini population.

Bahrain is a small country, similar in numbers to those that reside in greater Glasgow area, and has a total population of about 1.2m. Of this 1.2m about 60% are guest migrant workers, so the local Bahraini population is about 570,000 or thereabouts - again some similarities to Glasgow, as this is roughly the same amount of people within the Glasgow City council area. I am omitting that by coincidence Glasgow also has its own sectarian issues – catholic & protestants. Point to note again that two thirds of this 570,000 are Shia which tend to have historic and religious ties with Iran - in Bahrain they have always been under represented and accordingly felt disenfranchised.

When the British gave Bahrain its independence over 40 years ago the Al-Khalifa dynasty ruled the country. There has always been the 'Shia' issue. When King Hamad came to power his government was seen to start a process to grant citizenship to migrant workers – some say providing they kicked with the correct foot (ie. were not Shia) – in order to try to re-balance the Sunni/Shia demographics. This and press freedom together with the reported 450 political prisoners is at the heart of the matter.

Bahrain is not a rich country, it has little if any oil, and relies on banking and other commercial activities. But it has a strategic importance. The US 5th fleet has a permanent base there; and just across the causeway, which joins the country to the despotic regime of Saudi Arabia, lies the eastern oilfields of Saudi.

I have a feeling this may get worse before it gets better. Let us see if Bernie Ecclestone will permit the Bahrain Grand Prix to go on amid the growing security concerns. It is planned for March 13th and this will be a tester for the regime in more ways than one.

Tuesday 8 February 2011

Bob Bird's Lies

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Tommy and Bob in happier days

I was somewhat surprised that Channel 4's  - Dispatches - Dirty deeds of the Tabloids, never touched on the former editor of the NOTW Bob Bird's lies to the judge and jury at the Tommy Sheridan perjury trial.

Bird lied under oath when he said the incriminating data, regarding the £200k payment to Tommy's 'best' man for the 'confession' tape, had all been lost, during an archiving clear out of documents. Bird elaborated in some considerable detail that the documents were sent to Mumbai in India and were lost somewhere on route.

As we now know this was simply not true - nothing was lost, and nothing was ever archived.

I had a chuckle when I read an old report from the BBC's website concerning the original Sheridan defamation trial when Bird was giving evidence. I had googled 'Bob Bird Lies'.

Sunday paper 'does not tell lies'
Bob Bird defended the allegations about Mr Sheridan. The editor of the Scottish edition of the News of the World has told the Tommy Sheridan defamation case that his paper does not tell lies. 

Well the paper might well not tell lies (hmm) but he most definitely does.
 



 

Sunday 6 February 2011

Gray Matters by Andy Gray

As you'll know I'm not that sympathetic to the Andy Gray/Richard Keys 'sexism' charge – I could be completely wrong, but I think 'dark forces' [aka the Supreme Being] could perhaps be behind what I see as a fit-up.

I was in a charity shop during the week.  Doing what men usually do - or say they are doing - I was looking at the books - honestly, I was. I see a book that catches my eye in the bargain basket with a familiar face on the front cover. Now those of you that frequent the charries will know that the price of books is astonishingly high. £1 for a well thumbed paperback if you are lucky, and £2 or more, for your posh hardback. Much too much, in my opinion.

Well I'm sure you will be happy for me, as the book in question was Andy Gray's autobiography "Gray Matters" - a pristine hardback copy. The 'powers at be' at Age Concern, not usually known for being in touch with popular culture, must have taken the view that Andy Gray was indeed yesterday's man; this quite excellent book, had been marked down (in a charity shop, mind) to the very reasonable price of only 20p. For such a small sum, I just had to have it - I scooped it up out of the basket. We're off on holiday on 9th February and it will be a right riveting read by the poolside.
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Now here is the 'funny' bit (or at least I think so).

I get to the counter and give the lady the book with my 20p.  She peruses the book rather sniffily and then looks away avoiding any eye contact. In the silence that intervenes, I stutter somewhat nervously, "I'm not a sexist, you know" hoping to lighten up the apparent pain of the transaction. She just stares back at me without showing any emotion. "Well, I suppose you'll be needing a bag for that", she retorts. She puts the book rather gingerly in a brown paper bag and hands it to me with a look of disgust.  For goodness sake, it was as if I was buying a top shelf title such as my favourite 'Tractor Weekly'.  I retreated out of the shop feeling somewhat guilty and went across the road into Waitrose.

Saturday 5 February 2011

Sally Bercow - has she lost the plot?

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Call me old fashioned, but is the good office of the The Speaker of the House of Commons, John Bercow being a tad sullied and tarnished by the recent antics of his wife Sally?  Can someone explain why she posed in a flannelette sheet in the ‘ES’ magazine of the London freebie the Evening Standard?  And why she got into a quite detailed discussion about her sex life – fortunately with her husband, the Speaker John? 
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She has I gather given up the demon drink – formerly a reported habit of two bottles a day weekdays – even more at the weekend. But perhaps, once an addict, always an addict – she seems now to be addicted to self-publicity.

John, you need to put her on a tight leash from now on - and don't let her leave the house without adult supervision.

I remember the days when The Speaker of the House of Commons was a well respected position.  However, I would accept that the position is not perhaps what it once was.  I think the rot started with the corpulent, ubber-greedy, and thieving Michael Martin, he of the MP’s expenses scandal.  Some people get the jail fiddling their expenses, while the ring-leader gets ennobled becoming The Lord Martin of Springburn - wheres the justice?  And this a man that once used to post his underwear back to Glasgow for his wife to wash them using the parliamentary privilege of free post.  I do hope the postie wore gloves!

Bring back Betty Boothroyd!

State multiculturalism has failed, says David Cameron

What's the Boy Scout Party up to now? Seems like every day the boy David and his patrol are dreaming up new and wacky policies - Does he give merit badges to all his cabinet members at the end of the week!

Friday 4 February 2011

Andy Coulson could have helped Hosni Mubarak

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Egypt – what a mess. Limbo-land and nobody quite knows what the outcome will be. It is very bad news that the present situation and climate of uncertainty is continuing with violence and bloodshed. I feel this really could have been avoided.

We were in Egypt in December during the elections - they were farcical, and considered a joke by most of the population.

But electoral corruption can be sorted out and it is a great pity that the situation has been allowed to develop to this state. Unlike the princely thieves (or thieving princes) of the Gulf states who are absolute dictators any talk of democracy will get you in jail, Egypt has a modicum of democracy - no, it is certainly not perfect - but at least it is on the road to democracy as we know it.

The problem with Hosni Mubarak is that he is surrounded by yes men and takes no advice from anyone. He suffers from Emperors New Clothes syndrome and is not in touch with the people. The eagerly awaited TV statement was akin to Richard Keys's 'resignation' speech on Talksport radio - an utter disaster.

Andy Coulson, David Cameron's ex Director of Communications, and the man who was allegedly able to translate the mood of the common people, to the posh boy David, I think could have done a much better job for Hosni Mubarak. Just think Andy Coulson saving lives – a far cry from making up lurid 'stories' at NOTW and later at No. 10.

Think of this scenario, Ahmed Elcoulson ElPresidente's new press supremo, jets in and tells Hosni to tear up the prepared speech. "I'm sorry Mr President I think we need to work on an exit strategy that will work". He gets the biro out and starts scribbling some notes. Later Hosni Mubarak takes to the TV.

To the background music of 'Fields of Barley' by Sting

Good people of Egypt, I am talking to you tonight as I fully understand your concerns for the future of our Nation. I love our country and its people. I have listened to what you the people have said.

What many of you might not know, is that despite my eternally dark brown hair, I am a man of 82 years. I am not young - I am much nearer the end of my life than the beginning. I am also well past the state retirement age - I stayed on only to serve the needs of our country.

But everything has to end. I have had discussions with my family, and I believe it is now time for me to retire from government and politics, so that I can spend more time with my family. I plan to spend time fishing, and relaxing in the vast fields of cotton that have made this nation so great.

I am resigning as President with immediate effect from tonight. The Government will be dissolved and fresh elections will be held within 90 days. International observers under the auspices of the United nations will monitor these to ensure that the elections are free and fair.

Good citizens I sincerely thank you for your support over these many years.

God bless you all.”

I think it would have been meerkat simples.

Thursday 3 February 2011

Tommy Sheridan and the lost emails

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The fragrant Gail with her husband Tommy

I followed the Tommy Sheridan perjury trial; Tommy the former leader of the Scottish Socialist Party/Solidarity. The story has been widely reported – Tommy sued the News of the World (NOTW) for libel to do with a story alleging that Tommy was a 'swinger'; he won his case, but NOTW appealed as new evidence came to light (a video purporting to be Sheridan confessing to his former friend and Best man that he had been to a swingers club). The upshot of all this was that our Tommy, champion of the people, got done for perjury. He has now just started his sentence - 3 years in prison.

You would have thought that was that but no!

I have been also following the News International [NOTW] phone hacking scandal - it seems like the people who had their phone's hacked is a very long list.  Indeed rumour has it that many celebs feel a tad disappointed that they have not made the list! Tommy's number was in the private investigator Glenn Mulcaire's notebook – he went to jail as well but for phone hacking. But NOTW did not find any evidence to suggest that Tommy's number was hacked. Maybe he just liked collecting peoples phone numbers. Hmmm.

As I have mentioned the Supreme Being, Rupert Murdoch is in town to try to knock some heads together as the phone hacking scandal is threatening the proposed buy out of BSKYB - News Corp owns 39.1% and Murdoch wants it all.  Well, it seems the clean up act has discovered a lot more information. People have got sacked and suspended and it is now a huge story. They have admitted that they have found 'missing' emails and these have been passed to the Met for them to reopen the investigation.

Whats this to do with Tommy Sheridan?

Tommy Sheridan may be in for a bit of good fortune. For those that followed the trial they might remember that Bob Bird guy from the NOTW; he was the person who stripped to his boxers to see the incriminating 'confession' video of Tommy Sheridan shot by his former best man. Bird was the editor of the Scottish edition of the NOTW.  Sheridan's best man was paid the not inconsiderable sum of £200k for the tape by the NOTW.  Andy Coulson personally authorised the payment.

For those that can mind back to the trial Bird was asked under oath about emails and other information surrounding the Sheridan expose - but he admitted to the court that the emails were 'lost' during an alleged cock-up when they were allegedly archived out to Mumbai - the data was lost somewhere in cyberspace. Hmmm.

It turns out that Mr Bird may be back in the dock himself as it has been admitted this week that what he said was simply not true. In fact, a complete lot of tosh - nothing was ever lost, and no data was ever archived offshore - all the information remained in-house. As Bird was a senior executive he would, or should have known, about the whereabouts of the incriminating data - and dreaming up the rubbish he said in front of the esteemed judge and jury really takes the biscuit.

Its a welcome 'freebie' for Tommy's appeal when it can be shown that a key witness (the man who bought the tape) was not telling the truth in court.

Funny old world - committing perjury to help someone get done for perjury.

Wednesday 2 February 2011

Andy Gray & Richard Keys 'Affair' (no I'm not being 'sexist')


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What a stinker of a story

I think the whole ‘affair’ is quite honestly totally ridiculous.  If you get to the core of the matter people should remember that the taping of the 'off-air' remarks were not broadcast but 'leaked' to the media.

Why?

The Supreme Being of News Corp Rupert Murdoch was in town regarding the NOTW phone hacking scandal which threatens to derail News Corp’s buy out of the money printing machine known as BSKYB.  A few token heads have rolled - but unfortunately not that many of the management at the NOTW.  Andy Gray who worked for BSKYB (News Corp own 39.1%) just happened to have ongoing legal action against the NOTW over allegations that his live microphone was taped on previous occasions.  Now just who do you think would do such a thing?  He now joins a long list of people who will sue NOTW.  Andy Coulson walked later from No 10 as he must have got advance warning of the missing emails that have now apparently have been found again.  Surprise, surprise.

But what a total fit-up for Gray in particular.  The good news for Andy is that he has had 19 years with BSKYB at upwards of at least £1.5m pa.  He and now his pal Richard Keys are better out of it.  'Poor' Richard Keys I am afraid was collateral damage relating to the sacking of Gray.

Was it Sexism?

I consider what they said to be daft, stupid and silly; not appropriate for public consumption and/or in the workplace. But was it a hanging offence?  I really don’t think so.  Do most people who are friends now have to carefully consider what they say to one another in private?  Perhaps yes, if it is being recorded overtly (being broadcast) or covertly (taped and leaked) as in this case.

I am not making an excuse for sexism.  Like racism and religious bigotry we have had in the past it is I feel 'institutionalised'.  I believe it is the same with sexism.  More often than not it is deep rooted in the culture of the organisation/workplace; and also from people's upbringing and schooling.  These factors determine the background level, or 'acceptability', of the problem within the organisation.

Think back to 10/20/30 years, as to what were the generally acceptable norms were as to racism, bigotry, sexism, and so on; I think most people will agree we are thankfully headed in the right direction to reduce the level of institutionalised racism/sexism/bigotry.

Many folk in the street jumped right on the Murdoch bandwagon to call both Gray and Keys sexists.  Women seemed to be even more unforgiving than the men folk –you would expect that though wouldn’t you? The problem I have is that many people who were quick with the tar brush did not even know what was said.

Apologies in advance for repeating the heinous words that they dared to speak.  I really don't want to cause any offence so read no further if you are easily offended.

Keys: "Somebody better explain the offside rule to her (the line official)."
Gray: "Women don't know the offside rule."

Keys: "The game's gone mad. See charming Karren Brady complaining about sexism? Do me a favour, love."

Gray speaking to Sky Sports presenter Andy Burton, 22 January

Burton: "A female lino today, bit of a looker ... according to Steve the cameraman.  I don't know if I should trust his judgment."

Gray: "I wouldn't... I can see her from here. (Expletive] - what do women know about the offside rule?"

In mitigation, this 'sexist' tirade was off-air so few people heard it.  It was a private discussion between Gray and Keys & Gray and Burton.  But somebody taped it and shocked the world media with its dastardly content.

Hypocrites

I'm sure they'll not be much sexism at the News of the World or the Sun!  And I do find it a bit sickening when BSKYB and News International now take the moral high ground and gloat over Andy Gray and Richard Keys ‘resignation’.  'We won't stand for sexism in the workplace' and other such tosh.  Some were labelling them as perverts, or even worse.  Hypocrites the lot of them - the trashy News of the World & The Sun thrive on a diet of cheap sexploitation and lurid stories which are often just made up.  Is page 3 of the Sun sexist - I believe it is!

As an interesting aside I read that the red tops apparently had teams of journalists looking for any contacts - especially old boyfriends - of Sian Massey the assistant referee.  They were allegedly offering hefty cash incentives in return for 'raunchy shots' of the 25 year old.  But I'm sure if the get any it will be handled in the best possible taste with absolutely no element of 'sexism'.

Pot calling the kettle black.



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